It's a powerful metaphor Matt. Among the best analyses I've seen. It reminds me of a point made by some of my favourite podcasters, Matt Sitman and Sam Alder-Bell on Know Your Enemy. Leftists whose point was picked up by the very not left wing WSJ. Trump's first term was very unsucessful politically and from a policy perspective. The real question is, does he surround himself this time with people who can navigate the shredded but still significant political and process barriers and implement positions that were promised last time but never delivered? Or does it remain in the realms of rhetoric that, within the bubble in which most of his voters live, can be represented as policy achievements despite nothing really changing?
Time will tell Dominic. The Democrats created a legal quagmire by prosecuting Trump, and in doing so getting the Supreme Court to make current and future Presidents immune from prosecution for official acts. One can only hope that the absence of legal constraint on power is not exploited by Trump and acolytes. I suspect that what is more likely is that the acolytes spend more time fighting with each other for patronage, and that Trump’ll enjoy playing these parlour games than doing the boring work of public policy and its implementation. They’ll be more competent players this time around, but still subservient to one man’s whims.
For Australia, as in Germany, US, Britain, the lessons are for social democrats to reflect on how little traction technocratic 'delivery' has in the electorate.
The rapid rise (and fall) of inflation and increase and new normal of higher interest rates in Aus started under Scomo, but peaked under Albo. Trump exploited similar conditions in the US that messaging of ‘not fit for office’ or ‘weird’ or ‘no plausible policy plan’ was unable to cut through. Real risks for Labor that they’ll be a one term government and real risk for HE sector that it’ll get even less joy under LNP if this comes to pass.
It's a powerful metaphor Matt. Among the best analyses I've seen. It reminds me of a point made by some of my favourite podcasters, Matt Sitman and Sam Alder-Bell on Know Your Enemy. Leftists whose point was picked up by the very not left wing WSJ. Trump's first term was very unsucessful politically and from a policy perspective. The real question is, does he surround himself this time with people who can navigate the shredded but still significant political and process barriers and implement positions that were promised last time but never delivered? Or does it remain in the realms of rhetoric that, within the bubble in which most of his voters live, can be represented as policy achievements despite nothing really changing?
Time will tell Dominic. The Democrats created a legal quagmire by prosecuting Trump, and in doing so getting the Supreme Court to make current and future Presidents immune from prosecution for official acts. One can only hope that the absence of legal constraint on power is not exploited by Trump and acolytes. I suspect that what is more likely is that the acolytes spend more time fighting with each other for patronage, and that Trump’ll enjoy playing these parlour games than doing the boring work of public policy and its implementation. They’ll be more competent players this time around, but still subservient to one man’s whims.
For Australia, as in Germany, US, Britain, the lessons are for social democrats to reflect on how little traction technocratic 'delivery' has in the electorate.
The rapid rise (and fall) of inflation and increase and new normal of higher interest rates in Aus started under Scomo, but peaked under Albo. Trump exploited similar conditions in the US that messaging of ‘not fit for office’ or ‘weird’ or ‘no plausible policy plan’ was unable to cut through. Real risks for Labor that they’ll be a one term government and real risk for HE sector that it’ll get even less joy under LNP if this comes to pass.